I haven't seen anyone else posit this theory, although much keener minds than mine have tried to explain why Iran seized 15 British sailors and Royal Marines this past weekend.
Here's my relatively simple explanation for all this:
- Oil prices fall.
- Iran's treasury runs short of money. The Russians demand they pay their bills. The Russians threaten to withhold nuclear equipment unless Iran pays its bills.
- Iran kidnaps British soldiers.
- Oil prices skyrocket on anticipation of hostilities.
- Iran's cash flow problem is temporarily solved. And maybe they get to humiliate the West at the same time.
Just follow the money, folks.
Related: It is now being reported that the British Ministry of Defense (or is that Defence?) intervened when British forces reported that an Iranian gunboat was approaching, and ordered their naval vessels to stand down and not offer any resistance to the Iranians. Interesting, but this decision does place the onus completely on Iran, and Britain cannot be condemned for "attacking" an Iranian vessel (you know they would have changed their story and claimed they were in "Iranian" waters at the time) or for using "excessive force."
Also, John at Verum Serum has put together yet another worthwhile and somewhat disturbing post that logs the events leading up to the UK ship interception and capture.