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It's looking like a 2-3% victory in the popular vote totals for Barack Obama, just
about what the sane opinion polls predicted. He has well over 270 electoral votes, so the election is over. (Continuing vote tallies now indicate a 5-6% margin of victory.)
Anyway, certainly not a landslide, and a slim enough margin to make it difficult to declare a "mandate" -- although Democrats managed to declare a "mandate" with less than a 50% majority in 1992 and 1996. To Democrats, any victory is a mandate.
Recent history shows that Americans don't like one party rule, yet we are currently headed for a repeat of 1992-1994 "hope" and "change" (i.e. bigger government and higher taxes) except
with a far more liberal president and far more bitterly partisan
Congressional leaders. Oh, wait ... they promised us that one party
rule will be more bipartisan, didn't they? What was it that Rush
Limbaugh always said -- "bipartisan" simply means Democrats are
If recent history is reliable, the American people will give Obama
about two years. I don't think that he will reflexively announce an immediate troop withdrawal from Iraq. Troop withdrawals are already ongoing, spearheaded by the Bush administration (although I'm sure the press will give Obama the credit -- "if Obama hadn't pushed for withdrawal, Bush would still be dragging his feet..." or something like that). I don't think that his foreign policy will be immediately disastrous, although I believe that Obama could very well make a major foreign policy or military blunder during his first 24 months in office.
What I think would will really hurt Obama is an immediate juggernaut of hard-left domestic policies -- deliberate
over-regulation of energy that drives energy prices through the roof,
crippling tax increases that slow down the economy and depress the stock market, massive government spending that results in out of control debt and deficit increases -- those
will mean a huge Republican congressional landslide in 2010, essentially a repeat
of 1994. Continued poor performance (like Carter in 1979-80) will mean
a one-term presidency and perhaps President Palin or President Jindal
in 2012. Or maybe president Hillary if Obama is extremely weak and the
country isn't ready for the GOP in the White House.
On the other hand, Obama could actually stay in the political center
that he has so carefully crafted during his campaign. As such, his
presidency would very likely resemble that of Bill Clinton, sans the
philandering. Clinton did not cave to his party's radical left wing after he was elected. An Obama who actually listened to the people -- especially opinions that differ from his own -- and worked to bring disparate groups together in order to find solutions could be a great leader. However, the temptation for Obama and Congressional Democrats to simply roll a radical liberal/socialist agenda over minority Republicans "just because they can" will be great, and Obama does not have a history of challenging his party. Further, Obama had a lot of "guardian angels" in Chicago and in the national Democratic party who looked out for him and, probably to a greater extent than most people realize, made it possible for him to be where he is today. They will demand to be rewarded, with both choice political appointments and guaranteed consideration of their pet agendas.
Right now I'm curious about how long it will take for bits of unsavory information about Obama -- the kinds of things that the press would have published months ago if he were a Republican -- to begin trickling out of editing rooms and video vaults, and into the mainstream press? How long will it take for mainstream media reporters to finally remember that they are journalists, and maybe they should take a second look at Obama's sketchy personal history, and perhaps begin to build a profile of him from sources other than Obama himself? A bad economy or a serious military blunder could burst the protective dam that the MSM build around Obama and cause these kinds of stories to flood the national conversation.
One curious irony is that Obama's victory has to be bad news for race hustlers like Jesse Jackson and Al Sharpton. Not only has the torch been passed (over them) to a new generation, but their primary cash business -- exposing "institutional racism" -- has suddenly gotten a lot tougher. They will always find plenty of hard-luck sob stories
to use as a basis for their currency of victimhood, but certainly the
election of an African-American to the White
House should finally dispel the tired boilerplate of all blacks being
consistently denied a fair chance in America because of “the system.”
Well, that's enough for tonight. No, I'm not angry. A little disappointed perhaps, but life goes on. I won't be leaving America. I won't be suffering from Post Election Stress Trauma. I'll simply live day to day, doing the best that I can, praying for the things that are beyond me, and looking forward to each new day.
The Anchoress says, regarding our press:
Having spent all of their credibility on Obama, they will now have to validate their choice, which means they’ll continue in unquestioning support,
championing, rather than questioning, his leadership. Sadly,
questioning policy and leadership is the most valuable thing they do.
They’ll have forfeited the idea of “comforting the afflicted while
afflicting the comfortable,” because they’ll be wholly invested in
advocacy. THAT is the worst thing that happened, in this election - the
loss of our open and free press.
She also links to Michael Gerson writing in the Washington Post:
If God is not done with Obama, yet - and he’s not - then there is
still, always, hope. The office is bigger than any man. St. Peter would
have been no one’s idea of a great pope before Pentacost. St. Paul - a
persecutor of Christians - would have been no one’s idea of a premier
preacher and teacher of Christian doctrine. Nor, for that matter, would
Augustine have been.
... But God tell us to pray for such as these. And for Obama, too, who I
think will need those prayers also because I think the satellites
around him are much more dangerous and worrisome than he. (emphasis added)
November 05, 2008 in 2008 Presidential race, Barak Obama | Permalink
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Ol FLU-BIRD is so sick of OBAMA he is ready to ralph up on the carpet KKAAHHHAACCCKKK
April 13, 2009 at 12:56 PM
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